Telstra Group Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Aug 06, 2026 Gain 0.40%

The Telstra Group Limited stock price gained 0.399% on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026), rising from $17.55 to $17.62. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.513% from a day low at $17.54 to a day high of $17.63. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.26% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 7 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 7 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $128.63 thousand.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.04% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $14.70 and $16.23 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

TLGPY Signals & Forecast

The Telstra Group Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $17.65. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $17.50. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, July 10, 2026, and so far it has risen 3.53%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Telstra Group Limited has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, November 06, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Telstra Group Limited stock

Telstra Group Limited finds support from accumulated volume at $17.49 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0900 between high and low, or 0.513%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.49%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $16.58 (-5.89%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 21 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TLGPY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Telstra Group Limited to open at $17.60, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.39 and $17.85, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.460 (+/-2.65%) up or down from last closing price. If Telstra Group Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.65% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $17.70 (0.45%) than the support at $17.49 (0.74%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Telstra Group Limited stock A Buy?

Telstra Group Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $17.60 ( 0.132%).

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