Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 30, 2026 Loss -1.05%

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF price fell by -0.0117% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd Jul 2026) from $85.52 to $85.51. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.480% from a day low at $85.37 to a day high of $85.78. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.95% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -7 million shares and in total, 21 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.77 billion.

The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $82.24 and $86.88 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

TLT Signals & Forecast

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $86.71. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $85.49. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 29, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.22%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, June 10, 2026 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond finds support from accumulated volume at $83.91 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.410 between high and low, or 0.480%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.502%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (TLT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond to open at $85.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $85.18 and $85.84, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.658 (+/-0.77%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.77% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $86.08 (0.67%) than the support at $83.91 (1.87%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF A Buy?

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -2.209 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 6, 2026 - $85.55 ( 0.0507%).

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