Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Jun 15, 2026

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF price fell by -0.0583% on the last day (Monday, 15th Jun 2026) from $85.77 to $85.72. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.514% from a day low at $85.67 to a day high of $86.11. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.29% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 million shares and in total, 18 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.51 billion.

The ETF lies the upper part of a narrow and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $85.91 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -2.55% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $80.27 and $83.71 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

TLT Signals & Forecast

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $85.31 and $85.20. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 11, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.302%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, June 10, 2026 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond finds support from accumulated volume at $85.64 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.440 between high and low, or 0.514%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.669%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $82.32 (-3.97%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TLT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 16th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 16th we expect iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond to open at $85.83, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $85.40 and $86.04, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.644 (+/-0.75%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.75% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $85.64 (0.09%) than the resistance at $85.83 (0.13%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF A Buy?

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.900 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 16, 2026 - $85.83 ( 0.132%).

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