Tompkins Financial Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 14, 2025 Loss -4.03%

The Tompkins Financial Corp stock price fell by -4.03% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $67.21 to $64.50. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.47% from a day low at $64.25 to a day high of $67.12. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.59% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -12 thousand shares and in total, 42 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.68 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -6.37% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $56.64 and $63.72 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

TMP Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Tompkins Financial Corp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $67.03 and $65.50. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 05, 2025, and so far it has fallen -5.44%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tompkins Financial Corp stock

Tompkins Financial Corp finds support from accumulated volume at $63.40 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $2.87 (4.47%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.64%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (TMP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Tompkins Financial Corp to open at $65.29, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $63.66 and $65.34, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.68 (+/-2.65%) up or down from last closing price. If Tompkins Financial Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.65% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $64.88 (0.59%) than the support at $63.40 (1.71%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Tompkins Financial Corp stock A Buy?

Tompkins Financial Corp holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -1.917 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $65.29 ( 1.22%).

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