Toll Brothers Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 11, 2026 Gain 11.45%

The Toll Brothers Inc stock price gained 1.22% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Jun 2026), rising from $162.08 to $164.07. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.75% from a day low at $161.78 to a day high of $166.23. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 11.45% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -1 million shares and in total, 0 shares were bought and sold for approximately $0 . You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock has broken the wide and weak rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $157.65, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $186.21 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.

TOL Signals & Forecast

The Toll Brothers Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $156.48 and $141.47. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, June 23, 2026, and so far it has risen 8.69%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Toll Brothers Inc stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $155.67 and $130.46. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Toll Brothers Inc finds support just below today's level at $155.67. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $130.46 and $124.13.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $4.45 between high and low, or 2.75%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.81%

Our recommended stop-loss: $159.11 (-3.02%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TOL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Toll Brothers Inc to open at $164.02, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $161.30 and $166.83, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.53 (+/-3.43%) up or down from last closing price. If Toll Brothers Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.43% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $155.67, some $8.40 (5.12%) from the current price of $164.07, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Dividend Warning For TOL

Dividend coming up for TOL: Ex-dividend date (Friday 10th July, 2026) is 12 days away. The dividend is $0.260.

Is Toll Brothers Inc stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and the stock has broke the rising trend up, which indicates an even stronger rate of rising. We conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Toll Brothers Inc stock to perform well in the short-term period.

Current score: 3.832 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 29, 2026 - $164.02 ( 0.0254%).

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