Ultrapar Participacoes Sa Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 15, 2026 Gain 0.63%

The Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock price gained 2.13% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Jun 2026), rising from $4.70 to $4.80. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.80% from a day low at $4.73 to a day high of $4.81. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.24% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 3 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $26.61 million.

The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $4.67 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.40% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.18 and $5.21 at the end of this 3-month period.

UGP Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $4.80 and $5.42. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, and so far it has risen 2.35%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock

Ultrapar Participacoes SA finds support from accumulated volume at $4.77 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.0850 between high and low, or 1.80%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.32%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (UGP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Ultrapar Participacoes SA to open at $4.78, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $4.72 and $4.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.164 (+/-3.47%) up or down from last closing price. If Ultrapar Participacoes SA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.47% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $4.77 (0.63%) than the resistance at $5.62 (17.08%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Ultrapar Participacoes SA stock A Buy?

Ultrapar Participacoes SA holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -1.248 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 22, 2026 - $4.78 ( 0.451%).

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