Universal Music Group N.v Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Universal Music Group N.V. stock price fell by -2.31% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $25.94 to $25.34. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.18% from a day low at $25.21 to a day high of $25.76. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.4% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -4 thousand shares and in total, 710 shares were bought and sold for approximately $17.99 thousand.

The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $24.94 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.72% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $22.27 and $24.97 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

UMGNF Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Universal Music Group N.V. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $25.84 and $27.07. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, October 02, 2025, and so far it has fallen -14.56%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Universal Music Group N.V. stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.549 between high and low, or 2.18%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.07%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (UMGNF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Universal Music Group N.V. to open at $25.43, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $25.01 and $25.66, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.651 (+/-2.60%) up or down from last closing price. If Universal Music Group N.V. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.60% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $25.55, some $0.215 (0.85%) from the current price of $25.34, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Universal Music Group N.V. stock A Buy?

Universal Music Group N.V. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -3.699 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $25.43 ( 0.383%).

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