Union Pacific Corporation Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Mar 14, 2025

The Union Pacific Corporation stock price gained 1.38% on the last trading day (Friday, 14th Mar 2025), rising from $234.29 to $237.53. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.20% from a day low at $234.92 to a day high of $237.74. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.71% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -281 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $502.20 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $234.64 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.33% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $254.19 and $288.01 at the end of this 3-month period.

UNP Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, March 13, 2025, and so far it has risen 1.38%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Union Pacific Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $241.42 and $245.56. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Union Pacific Corporation stock

Union Pacific Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $234.26 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $2.82 between high and low, or 1.20%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.30%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (UNP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 17th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 17th we expect Union Pacific Corporation to open at $236.73, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $232.76 and $242.30, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.77 (+/-2.01%) up or down from last closing price. If Union Pacific Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.02% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $234.26 (1.38%) than the resistance at $248.05 (4.43%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Union Pacific Corporation stock A Buy?

The Union Pacific Corporation stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Union Pacific Corporation will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.049 Sell Candidate Downgraded

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on March 17, 2025 - $236.73 ( 0.337%).