Union Pacific Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 30, 2026 Gain 8.95%

The Union Pacific Corporation stock price gained 1.76% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 4th Aug 2026), rising from $291.23 to $296.35. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.03% from a day low at $288.09 to a day high of $296.81. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 1.1% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -474 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $553.84 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 13.13% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $311.07 and $352.30 at the end of this 3-month period.

UNP Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, July 24, 2026, and so far it has fallen -3.57%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The Union Pacific Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $293.59 and $282.95. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, August 19, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Union Pacific Corporation stock

Union Pacific Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $294.45 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $8.72 (3.03%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.35%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $283.58 (-4.31%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 7 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (UNP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 5th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 5th we expect Union Pacific Corporation to open at $293.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $292.80 and $299.90, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$7.11 (+/-2.43%) up or down from last closing price. If Union Pacific Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.43% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $294.45 (0.64%) than the resistance at $299.30 (1.00%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For UNP

Dividend coming up for UNP: Ex-dividend date (Monday 31st August, 2026) is 25 days away. The dividend is $1.42.

Is Union Pacific Corporation stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Union Pacific Corporation stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 2.169 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 5, 2026 - $293.75 ( 0.88%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk