United Parcel Service Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 09, 2025 Loss -0.04%

The United Parcel Service Inc stock price gained 0.0605% on the last trading day (Friday, 20th Jun 2025), rising from $99.21 to $99.27. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.38% from a day low at $99.11 to a day high of $100.48. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.48% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 7 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 11 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.10 billion.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -6.40% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $80.44 and $101.56 at the end of this 3-month period.

UPS Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The United Parcel Service Inc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $100.19. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $98.19. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 08, 2025, and so far it has risen 8.00%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for United Parcel Service Inc stock

United Parcel Service Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $97.55 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.36 (1.38%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.40%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $95.42 (-3.88%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 50 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (UPS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 23rd we expect United Parcel Service Inc to open at $99.62, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $97.33 and $101.21, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.94 (+/-1.96%) up or down from last closing price. If United Parcel Service Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.92% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $97.55 (1.73%) than the resistance at $109.95 (10.76%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is United Parcel Service Inc stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.353 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2025 - $99.62 ( 0.351%).

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