United Parcel Service Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 11, 2026 Gain 7.83%

The United Parcel Service Inc stock price gained 3.74% on the last trading day (Thursday, 16th Jul 2026), rising from $112.94 to $117.16. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.59% from a day low at $113.25 to a day high of $117.32. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.96% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 123 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $491.33 million.

The stock has broken the wide and weak rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $114.73, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $127.46 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.

UPS Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The United Parcel Service Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $112.83 and $108.91. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 10, 2026, and so far it has risen 13.47%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for United Parcel Service Inc stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $103.92 and $99.88. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, United Parcel Service Inc finds support just below today's level at $103.92. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $99.88 and $96.31.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $4.07 (3.59%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.36%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $111.88 (-4.50%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 24 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (UPS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect United Parcel Service Inc to open at $115.91, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $115.72 and $118.60, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.88 (+/-2.49%) up or down from last closing price. If United Parcel Service Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $103.92, some $13.24 (11.30%) from the current price of $117.16, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is United Parcel Service Inc stock A Buy?

United Parcel Service Inc holds several positive signals and has broken the weak rising trend up. As the stock is also in great technical shape we, therefore, consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Strong Buy candidate.

Current score: 7.656 Strong Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 17, 2026 - $115.91 ( 1.07%).

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