Usd/nok Currency Pair Forecast

Buy candidate since Nov 14, 2025 Gain 0.33%

The USD/NOK currency pair price gained 0.333% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from kr10.07 to kr10.11. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.84% from a day low at kr10.04 to a day high of kr10.12. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.04% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -26 thousand shares and in total, 128 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately kr1.29 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The currency pair is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect USD/NOK currency pair with a 90% probability to be traded between kr9.84 and kr10.27 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and currency pair seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Currency pair turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

USDNOK Signals & Forecast

The USD/NOK currency pair holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the currency pair. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at kr10.09 and kr10.06. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, November 04, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.99%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, October 08, 2025 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Thursday, October 30, 2025.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USD/NOK currency pair

USD/NOK finds support from accumulated volume at kr10.04 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the currency pair During the last day, the currency pair moved kr0.0848 between high and low, or 0.84%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.559%

Our recommended stop-loss: kr9.76 (-3.48%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 9 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (USDNOK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect USD/NOK to open at kr10.09, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between kr10.07 and kr10.15, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-kr0.0776 (+/-0.77%) up or down from last closing price. If USD/NOK takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.77% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at kr10.13 (0.21%) than the support at kr10.04 (0.69%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is USD/NOK currency pair A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for USD/NOK currency pair to perform well in the short-term period.

Current score: 1.961 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - kr10.09 ( 0.189%).

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