Usd/nok Currency Pair Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 21, 2026 Loss -1.83%

The USD/NOK currency pair price fell by -0.669% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from kr9.52 to kr9.46. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 1.15% from a day low at kr9.44 to a day high of kr9.55. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.86% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 151 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 151 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately kr1.43 million.

Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 6.27% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between kr10.05 and kr10.80 at the end of this 3-month period.

USDNOK Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The USD/NOK currency pair holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at kr9.58 and kr9.69. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 26, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.73%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). USD/NOK gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, June 02, 2026 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USD/NOK currency pair

USD/NOK finds support from accumulated volume at kr9.44 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved kr0.108 between high and low, or 1.15%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.685%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (USDNOK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect USD/NOK to open at kr9.48, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between kr9.42 and kr9.50, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-kr0.0806 (+/-0.86%) up or down from last closing price. If USD/NOK takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.86% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at kr9.44 (0.13%) than the resistance at kr9.48 (0.21%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is USD/NOK currency pair A Buy?

The USD/NOK currency pair holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe USD/NOK will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this currency pair.

Current score: -2.505 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - kr9.48 ( 0.300%).

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