Usd/sek Currency Pair Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 30, 2026 Loss -0.37%

The USD/SEK currency pair price fell by -0.370% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from kr9.53 to kr9.50. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 1.24% from a day low at kr9.49 to a day high of kr9.61. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.51% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 170 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 170 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately kr1.62 million.

Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 5.43% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between kr10.01 and kr10.51 at the end of this 3-month period.

USDSEK Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The USD/SEK currency pair holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at kr9.65 and kr9.63. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.64%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the currency pair should be followed more closely. The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 12, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Tuesday, November 18, 2025.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USD/SEK currency pair

USD/SEK finds support from accumulated volume at kr9.37 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved kr0.118 between high and low, or 1.24%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.99%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (USDSEK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect USD/SEK to open at kr9.53, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between kr9.46 and kr9.53, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-kr0.0784 (+/-0.83%) up or down from last closing price. If USD/SEK takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at kr9.37 (1.29%) than the resistance at kr9.68 (1.90%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is USD/SEK currency pair A Buy?

The USD/SEK currency pair holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe USD/SEK will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this currency pair.

Current score: -2.448 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - kr9.53 ( 0.362%).

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