Usd/sek Currency Pair Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 07, 2026 Gain 0.22%

The USD/SEK currency pair price gained 0.578% on the last trading day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026), rising from kr9.66 to kr9.71. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.0582% from a day low at kr9.71 to a day high of kr9.71. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.11% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 947 more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 114 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately kr1.11 million.

The currency pair lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 6.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between kr10.11 and kr10.49 at the end of this 3-month period.

USDSEK Signals & Forecast

The USD/SEK currency pair holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the currency pair. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at kr9.67 and kr9.52. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. USD/SEK has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.409%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 12, 2026 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Tuesday, November 18, 2025.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USD/SEK currency pair

USD/SEK finds support from accumulated volume at kr9.37 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved kr0.0057 between high and low, or 0.0582%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.380%.

Our recommended stop-loss: kr9.34 (-3.87%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (USDSEK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect USD/SEK to open at kr9.71, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between kr9.68 and kr9.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-kr0.0684 (+/-0.71%) up or down from last closing price. If USD/SEK takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.71% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at kr9.72 (0.10%) than the support at kr9.37 (3.49%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is USD/SEK currency pair A Buy?

USD/SEK holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.339 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - kr9.71 ( 0.0168%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk