Should you buy VALN stock?
Last updated:
Based on market data through , StockInvest.us rates Valneva Se (VALN) as a Buy Candidate with a technical score of 1.54 on its -10 to +10 scale. The rating is unchanged from the previous daily evaluation.
- Buy signal since
- Price since signal Up 1.34%
- 3-month trend forecast Down 16.77%
- Beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
- Highly efficient cash conversion (105% FCF/OCF ratio)
Valneva Se stock price down 0% on Monday
(Market data through Aug 10, 2026)
No changes to the price of Valneva Se stock on the last trading day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.61% from a day low at $5.21 to a day high of $5.40. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.85% over the past 2 weeks.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $5.44 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -16.77% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $3.80 and $4.53 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
VALN Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Valneva Se stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $5.17 and $5.13. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, July 23, 2026, and so far it has risen 10.88%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume gained on the last day while the price remained unchanged. This is not a classical divergence, but the stock should be watched more closely at it may be a "turning point".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Valneva Se stock
Valneva Se finds support from accumulated volume at $5.23 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.188 between high and low, or 3.61%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.93%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $5.09 (-3.90%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VALN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Valneva Se to open at $5.30, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $5.21 and $5.39, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.180 (+/-3.46%) up or down from last closing price. If Valneva Se takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $5.23 (1.32%) than the resistance at $5.93 (11.89%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Valneva Se will release earnings BMO on Thursday, August 13, 2026.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.189. We will update the financials statements for Valneva Se, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 5.02% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Valneva Se stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score:
1.542
Buy Candidate
Unchanged
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $5.30 ( 0.0742%).
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VALN Performance
Trading levels for VALN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 5.49 | 3.63% |
| R2 | 5.42 | 2.27% |
| R1 | 5.38 | 1.43% |
| Price | 5.30 | |
| S1 | 5.23 | -1.28% |
| S2 | 5.19 | -2.12% |
| S3 | 5.12 | -3.48% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 6.30 | 18.87% |
| R2 | 6.00 | 13.21% |
| R1 | 5.93 | 11.89% |
| Price | 5.30 | |
| S1 | 5.23 | -1.32% |
| S2 | 5.13 | -3.30% |
| S3 | 5.08 | -4.15% |
FAQ
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