Vanguard Energy ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 23, 2026

The Vanguard Energy ETF price gained 0.605% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026), rising from $153.75 to $154.68. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.28% from a day low at $153.06 to a day high of $155.02. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.93% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -828 thousand shares and in total, 384 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $59.33 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -5.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $141.23 and $160.70 at the end of this 3-month period.

VDE Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, June 18, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.88%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Energy ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $155.65 and $162.72. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Energy ETF

Vanguard Energy finds support from accumulated volume at $154.28 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.95 between high and low, or 1.28%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.44%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (VDE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Vanguard Energy ETF to open at $154.25, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $152.88 and $156.48, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.60 (+/-2.35%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Energy ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.35% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $154.28 (0.26%) than the resistance at $162.73 (5.20%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For VDE

Notice for VDE: Ex-dividend date was Wednesday 24th June, 2026. The dividend was $1.03.

Is Vanguard Energy ETF ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Energy holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -3.160 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $154.25 ( 0.277%).

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