Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF Forecast
Green day on Friday for Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF price gained 0.276% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $39.80 to $39.91. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.455% from a day low at $39.81 to a day high of $39.99. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -3.62% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -55 thousand shares and in total, 150 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.99 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $39.79 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $40.57 and $43.17 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VNQI Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.403%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $40.15 and $41.07. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF
Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate finds support from accumulated volume at $39.81 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.181 (0.455%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.94%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $37.57 (-5.86%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VNQI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF to open at $39.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $39.46 and $40.36, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.453 (+/-1.13%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.27% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $39.81 (0.25%) than the resistance at $40.41 (1.25%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.719 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $39.90 ( 0.0159%) | $39.91 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VNQI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 40.08 | 0.438 % | |
| R2 | 40.02 | 0.264 % | ||
| R1 | 39.97 | 0.157 % | ||
| Current price: | 39.91 | |||
| Support | S1 | 39.83 | -0.189 % | |
| S2 | 39.79 | -0.296 % | ||
| S3 | 39.72 | -0.469 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 40.60 | 1.73 % | |
| R2 | 40.45 | 1.35 % | ||
| R1 | 40.41 | 1.25 % | ||
| Current price | 39.91 | |||
| Support | S1 | 39.81 | -0.251% | |
| S2 | 39.75 | -0.401% | ||
| S3 | 39.39 | -1.30% |
VNQI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | $0.235 | 0.564% |
| 2 | Dec 15, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | Dec 22, 2022 | $0.235 | 0.573% |
| 3 | Dec 17, 2021 | Dec 21, 2021 | Dec 27, 2021 | $2.90 | 5.40% |
| 4 | Sep 23, 2021 | Sep 24, 2021 | Sep 29, 2021 | $0.601 | 1.07% |
| 5 | Dec 18, 2020 | Dec 21, 2020 | Dec 24, 2020 | $0.505 | 0.94% |
FAQ
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