Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Forecast
Red day on Thursday for Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF price fell by -0.206% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024) from $247.68 to $247.17. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.16% from a day low at $246.67 to a day high of $249.53. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.93% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 143 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $738.16 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 6.20% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $262.50 and $281.31 at the end of this 3-month period.
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VTI Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $251.21 and $255.37. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.99%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $245.15 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.86 between high and low, or 1.16%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.48%.
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund is oversold on RSI14 (23). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $238.17 (-3.64%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. Low RSI14 is 23 which reduces the risk some. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 19 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VTI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $247.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $244.19 and $250.15, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.98 (+/-1.21%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.42% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $249.14 (0.80%) than the support at $245.15 (0.82%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.442 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares of Friday, April 19, 2024
Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$247.79 ( 0.251%) | $247.17 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VTI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 250.65 | 1.41 % | |
R2 | 249.56 | 0.97 % | ||
R1 | 248.88 | 0.693 % | ||
Current price: | 247.17 | |||
Support | S1 | 246.70 | -0.191 % | |
S2 | 246.02 | -0.464 % | ||
S3 | 244.93 | -0.91 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 254.65 | 3.03 % | |
R2 | 249.78 | 1.06 % | ||
R1 | 249.14 | 0.797 % | ||
Current price | 247.17 | |||
Support | S1 | 245.15 | -0.82% | |
S2 | 240.58 | -2.67% | ||
S3 | 239.87 | -2.95% |
VTI Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 05, 2024 | Mar 22, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | $0.91 | 0.351% |
2 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | $1.00 | 0.424% |
3 | Mar 17, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | $0.798 | 0.378% |
4 | Mar 17, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.83 | 0.381% |
5 | Mar 17, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 28, 2023 | $0.786 | 0.399% |
FAQ
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