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Evaluation of Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected ETF downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jul 21, 2026)
The Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected ETF price fell by -0.0705% on the last day (Tuesday, 21st Jul 2026) from $49.67 to $49.63. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.141% from a day low at $49.63 to a day high of $49.70. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.02% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -87 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $73.93 million.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $48.58 and $49.31 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
VTIP Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $49.64 and $50.02. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 01, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.222%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected ETF
Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected finds support from accumulated volume at $49.61 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0700 between high and low, or 0.141%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.104%.
Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected is oversold on RSI14 (22). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VTIP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 22nd we expect Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index Fund to open at $49.65, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $49.59 and $49.67, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0848 (+/-0.17%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.17% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $49.61 (0.04%) than the resistance at $50.30 (1.35%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index Fund ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.568
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 22, 2026 - $49.65 ( 0.0470%).
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VTIP Performance
Trading levels for VTIP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 49.72 | 0.188% |
| R2 | 49.70 | 0.134% |
| R1 | 49.68 | 0.101% |
| Price | 49.63 | |
| S1 | 49.63 | -0.0069% |
| S2 | 49.61 | -0.0402% |
| S3 | 49.58 | -0.0940% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 50.37 | 1.49% |
| R2 | 50.31 | 1.37% |
| R1 | 50.30 | 1.35% |
| Price | 49.63 | |
| S1 | 49.61 | -0.0403% |
| S2 | 49.58 | -0.101% |
| S3 | 49.52 | -0.222% |
VTIP Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 01, 2026 | Jul 01, 2026 | Jul 06, 2026 | $0.680 | 1.35% |
| 2 | Mar 30, 2026 | Apr 01, 2026 | Apr 06, 2026 | $0.0227 | 0.0454% |
| 3 | Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 18, 2025 | Dec 22, 2025 | $0.711 | 1.44% |
| 4 | Sep 29, 2025 | Oct 01, 2025 | Oct 03, 2025 | $0.648 | 1.30% |
| 5 | Jun 27, 2025 | Jul 01, 2025 | Jul 03, 2025 | $0.426 | 0.86% |
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