Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index ETF Forecast

Evaluation of Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index ETF downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)

VWO Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $41.74. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $41.17. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.16%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, September 12, 2023 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index ETF

Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index finds support from accumulated volume at $41.57 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.240 between high and low, or 0.577%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.709%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $39.64 (-4.96%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (VWO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $41.69, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $41.33 and $42.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.383 (+/-0.92%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.84% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $41.76 (0.12%) than the support at $41.57 (0.34%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.954 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF Shares of Thursday, April 25, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.