- Low bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score: 4.67)
- Trading above its 200-day moving average
- Strong operating margin of 22.8%
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Thursday trading session
(Updated on Jul 02, 2026)
The Advanced Drainage Systems Inc stock price gained 0.81% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd Jul 2026), rising from $150.96 to $152.18. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.04% from a day low at $149.48 to a day high of $154.03. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 9.36% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -227 thousand shares and in total, 383 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $58.23 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $156.74 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.13% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $122.56 and $150.26 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
WMS Signals & Forecast
The Advanced Drainage Systems Inc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $153.34. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $139.87. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -3.05%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Advanced Drainage Systems Inc stock
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $151.98 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $4.55 between high and low, or 3.04%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.68%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $145.67 (-4.28%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (WMS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Advanced Drainage Systems Inc to open at $151.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $149.50 and $154.86, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.36 (+/-3.59%) up or down from last closing price. If Advanced Drainage Systems Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.59% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $151.98 (0.13%) than the resistance at $153.37 (0.78%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Advanced Drainage Systems Inc stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
1.388
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 6, 2026 - $151.90 ( 0.186%).
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WMS Performance
Trading levels for WMS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 156.45 | 2.80% |
| R2 | 154.71 | 1.66% |
| R1 | 153.63 | 0.96% |
| Price | 152.18 | |
| S1 | 150.16 | -1.33% |
| S2 | 149.08 | -2.03% |
| S3 | 147.35 | -3.18% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 155.26 | 2.02% |
| R2 | 153.82 | 1.08% |
| R1 | 153.37 | 0.782% |
| Price | 152.18 | |
| S1 | 151.98 | -0.131% |
| S2 | 135.15 | -11.19% |
| S3 | 130.15 | -14.48% |
WMS Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 21, 2026 | Jun 01, 2026 | Jun 15, 2026 | $0.200 | 0.150% |
| 2 | Feb 05, 2026 | Mar 02, 2026 | Mar 16, 2026 | $0.180 | 0.103% |
| 3 | Dec 01, 2025 | Dec 01, 2025 | Dec 15, 2025 | $0.180 | 0.122% |
| 4 | Aug 29, 2025 | Aug 29, 2025 | Sep 15, 2025 | $0.180 | 0.137% |
| 5 | May 15, 2025 | May 30, 2025 | Jun 16, 2025 | $0.180 | 0.152% |
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