XAG/INR Currency Pair Forecast
On Friday, XAG/INR currency pair price gained an impressive 6.25%
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The XAG/INR currency pair price gained 6.25% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024), rising from ₹2,468.30 to ₹2,622.61. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 7.10% from a day low at ₹2,456.20 to a day high of ₹2,630.71. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 18.44% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 1 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹3.28 million.
The currency pair lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at ₹2,628.94 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 27.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹2,942.81 and ₹3,351.00 at the end of this 3-month period.
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XAGINR Signals & Forecast
The XAG/INR currency pair holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ₹2,431.54 and ₹2,318.41. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 30, 2024, and so far it has risen 19.46%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for XAG/INR currency pair
On the downside, the currency pair finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at ₹2,373.56 and ₹2,359.66. There is a natural risk involved when a currency pair is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the currency pair then may fall to the next support level. In this case, XAG/INR finds support just below today's level at ₹2,373.56. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at ₹2,359.66 and ₹2,010.60.
This currency pair has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the currency pair moved ₹174.51 between high and low, or 7.10%. For the last week, the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 2.35%.
The XAG/INR currency pair is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some currency pairs may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the currency pair manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹2,533.96 (-3.38%) (This currency pair has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 81 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 13 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (XAGINR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect XAG/INR to open at ₹2,569.84, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹2,561.92 and ₹2,683.29, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹60.68 (+/-2.31%) up or down from last closing price. If XAG/INR takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.63% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ ₹2,373.56, some ₹249.05 (9.50%) from the current price of ₹2,622.61, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is XAG/INR currency pair A Buy?
XAG/INR holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for XAG/INR of Monday, May 20, 2024
| Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ₹2,569.84 ( 2.01%) | ₹2,622.61 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for XAGINR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 2,744.35 | 4.64 % | |
| R2 | 2,677.69 | 2.10 % | ||
| R1 | 2,636.50 | 0.530 % | ||
| Current price: | 2,622.61 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2,503.18 | -4.55 % | |
| S2 | 2,461.99 | -6.12 % | ||
| S3 | 2,395.33 | -8.67 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 0 | . | ||
| Current price | 2,622.61 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2,373.56 | -9.50% | |
| S2 | 2,359.66 | -10.03% | ||
| S3 | 2,010.60 | -23.34% |
FAQ
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