Materials Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 23, 2026

The Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF price fell by -1.04% on the last day (Thursday, 23rd Jul 2026) from $50.82 to $50.29. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.71% from a day low at $50.12 to a day high of $50.98. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.06% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 737 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 11 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $549.38 million.

The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $47.99 and $51.82 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

XLB Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, July 20, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.520%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $50.45 and $51.07. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF

Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $50.16 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.86 between high and low, or 1.71%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.64%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (XLB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 24th we expect Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund to open at $50.46, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $49.86 and $50.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.87 (+/-1.74%) up or down from last closing price. If Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.74% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $50.16 (0.26%) than the resistance at $50.92 (1.25%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF A Buy?

Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.351 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 24, 2026 - $50.46 ( 0.341%).

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