AAON Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Friday for AAON stock after gaining 1.39%
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The AAON stock price gained 1.39% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $89.90 to $91.15. It has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.75% from a day low at $90.14 to a day high of $91.72. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.57% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -16 thousand shares and in total, 359 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $32.70 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 17.80% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $99.21 and $113.28 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AAON Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 08, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The AAON stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $88.09 and $86.29. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AAON stock
AAON finds support from accumulated volume at $89.58 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.58 (1.75%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.03%.
Since the AAON has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $87.66 (-3.82%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 14 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AAON) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect AAON to open at $91.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $88.38 and $93.92, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.77 (+/-3.04%) up or down from last closing price. If AAON takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.09% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $89.58 (1.72%) than the resistance at $92.88 (1.90%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
AAON will release earnings AMC on Thursday, May 02, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.460. We will update the financials statements for AAON, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 4.75% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is AAON stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for AAON stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 2.202 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for AAON of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $91.00 ( 0.161%) | $91.15 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AAON
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 92.58 | 1.57 % | |
| R2 | 91.98 | 0.91 % | ||
| R1 | 91.61 | 0.501 % | ||
| Current price: | 91.15 | |||
| Support | S1 | 90.40 | -0.82 % | |
| S2 | 90.03 | -1.23 % | ||
| S3 | 89.42 | -1.89 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 92.88 | 1.90 % | ||
| Current price | 91.15 | |||
| Support | S1 | 89.58 | -1.72% | |
| S2 | 83.98 | -7.87% | ||
| S3 | 82.45 | -9.54% |
AAON Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 05, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 29, 2024 | $0.0800 | 0.0908% |
| 2 | Nov 09, 2023 | Nov 28, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.0800 | 0.113% |
| 3 | Aug 18, 2023 | Sep 07, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.0800 | 0.141% |
| 4 | May 18, 2023 | Jun 08, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.190% |
| 5 | Mar 01, 2023 | Mar 10, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.120 | 0.186% |
FAQ
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