Previous Hold Today AGNC ranks #1392 as HOLD CANDIDATE #1392 Next Hold

AGNC stock forecast American Capital Agency Corp.

AGNC stock forecast

Monday October 14, 2019 Change -0.46% Price $16.19
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Bullish vs. Bearish (4 opinions)
Social Sentiment -0.08

AGNC Forecast and Technical Stock Analysis

Hold candidate since 2019-10-14 PDF

American Capital Agency Corp. fell by -0.46% in the last day ( Monday, 14th Oct 2019 ) from $16.26 to $16.19 During the day the stock fluctuated 0.87% from a day low at $16.11 to a day high of $16.25. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.59% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. In the last day the trading volume fell by -2.28 million shares and in total 1.73 million shares bought and sold for approximately $28.06 million.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the AGNC stock price was $16.45 and low was $15.60.
  • 90 day high was $17.60 and low was $14.51.
  • 52 week high for American Capital Agency Corp. - $18.29 and low - $14.51.
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American Capital Agency Corp. lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $16.23 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.73% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $12.58 and $14.65 at the end of this period.

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American Capital Agency Corp. holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $16.07 and $15.72. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday October 11, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

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A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Friday October 11, 2019 and based on theory for this formation the price should fall by -0.55% to $15.76 within 14 trading days since signal was issued (Thursday October 31, 2019).

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 75 ]

RSI14 is 54 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

* uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behaviour.

Support & Resistance

American Capital Agency Corp. finds support from accumulated volume at $15.90.

Support: $15.90 Price: $16.19 Resistance: $16.26


This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.14 (0.87%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.08%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $15.50 (-4.22%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 1 day(s) ago.)

1.08 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Hold/Accumulate Downgraded


American Capital Agency Corp. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy-recommendation. At the current level, we recommend to hold or accumulate in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Buy Candidate to a Hold/Accumulate.

Previous Hold Today AGNC ranks #1392 as HOLD CANDIDATE #1392 Next Hold
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