Applied Genetic Technologies Corporation Forecast and Stock Analysis
Technical AGTC stock analysis for February 15, 2019.
Applied Genetic Technologies Corporation fell by -2.69% in the last day from $3.35 to $3.26 The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.84% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. In the last day the trading volume fell by -831 shares and in total 29 271 shares bought and sold for approximately $95 423.50.
Close price at the end of the last trading day (Friday, 15th Feb 2019) of the AGTC stock was $3.26. This is 2.69% less than the trading day before Thursday, 14th Feb 2019.
During day the stock fluctuated 5.33% from a day low at $3.19 to a day high of $3.36.
30 day high of the AGTC stock price was $3.48 and low was $2.75.
90 day high was $7.13 and low was $2.26.
52 week high for the Applied Genetic Technologies Corporation - $7.50 and low - $2.26.
Applied Genetic Technologies Corporation lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $3.63 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -52.32% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $-0.09 and $1.73 at the end of this period.
Applied Genetic Technologies Corporation holds a sales signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term moving average at approximately $3.29. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $3.01. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sales signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday February 14, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI14 is 62 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold
Support & Resistance
Applied Genetic Technologies Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $3.25.
This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.17 between high and low, or 5.33%. For the last week the stock has had a daily average volatility of 5.63%.
Our recommended stoploss: We hold a sell evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss set.
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Evaluation: Sell Candidate
Applied Genetic Technologies Corporation holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Buy Candidate to a Sell Candidate.