AMERISAFE Forecast and Stock Analysis
Technical AMSF stock analysis for April 24, 2019.
AMERISAFE gained 0.68% in the last trading day, rising from $58.47 to $58.87 , and has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.35% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day by -4 450 shares, and in total, 32 434 shares bought and sold for approximately $1.91 million. You should take into consideration that a falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes for the next couple of days.
Close price at the end of the last trading day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2019) of the AMSF stock was $58.87. This is 0.68% more than the trading day before Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2019.
During day the stock fluctuated 1.28% from a day low at $58.42 to a day high of $59.17.
30 day high of the AMSF stock price was $60.10 and low was $56.65.
90 day high was $65.10 and low was $56.13.
52 week high for the AMERISAFE - $67.96 and low - $50.45.
AMERISAFE lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.03% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $53.58 and $58.81 at the end of this period.
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday April 22, 2019, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. AMERISAFE holds a buysignal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, a sales signal from the long-term average. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sales signal in the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term moving average at $59.17. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $58.66. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sales signal and strengthen the general signal.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI14 is 57 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold
Support & Resistance
AMERISAFE finds support from accumulated volume at $58.04.
This stock is usually traded at good volume, and with minor daily changes the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.75 (1.28%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 1.91%.
Our recommended stoploss: We hold a sell evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss set.
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Evaluation: Sell Candidate
AMERISAFE holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
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|AMSF $58.87 ($0.40 0.68%)|
AMSF is up $0.40 today, but where's it headed in 2019?
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