Stronger Sell Today AMSF ranks #3592 as SELL CANDIDATE #3592 Weaker Sell

AMSF stock forecast AMERISAFE

AMSF stock forecast

Friday January 24, 2020 Change -1.42% Price $66.18
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AMSF Forecast and Technical Stock Analysis

Sell candidate since 2020-01-24 PDF

AMERISAFE fell by -1.42% in the last day ( Friday, 24th Jan 2020 ) from $67.13 to $66.18 and has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the day the stock fluctuated 2.87% from a day low at $65.43 to a day high of $67.31. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.99% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. In the last day the trading volume fell by -28 269 shares and in total 55 118 shares bought and sold for approximately $3.65 million.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the AMSF stock price was $69.00 and low was $64.30.
  • 90 day high was $71.99 and low was $62.44.
  • 52 week high for AMERISAFE - $71.99 and low - $56.13.
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AMERISAFE is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect AMERISAFE with a 90% probability to be traded between $64.18 and $70.26 at the end of this period with 90% probability. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the roof. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

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There are few to none technical positive signals at the moment. AMERISAFE holds sales signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. On corrections up there will be some resistance from the lines at $67.45 and $66.40. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday January 17, 2020, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

The stock had a Golden Star Signal* on Wednesday May 01, 2019 in the medium-term chart.

* Golden Star Signal* is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 75 ]

RSI14 is 49 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

* uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behaviour.

Support & Resistance

AMERISAFE finds support from accumulated volume at $65.67.

Support: $65.67 Price: $66.18 Resistance: $67.03


This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.88 (2.87%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.77%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a sell evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss set.

1.77 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Sell Candidate Downgraded


AMERISAFE holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since last evaluation from a Buy Candidate to a Sell Candidate candidate.

Stronger Sell Today AMSF ranks #3592 as SELL CANDIDATE #3592 Weaker Sell
Exchange: NASDAQ | NYSE | XLON | AMS | TSX | BRU

Golden Star Signal

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