Stronger Sell Today AMSF ranks #3870 as SELL CANDIDATE #3870 Weaker Sell

AMSF stock forecast AMERISAFE

AMSF stock forecast

Monday October 14, 2019 Change -0.17% Price $63.81
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AMSF Forecast and Technical Stock Analysis

Sell candidate since 2019-10-09 Loss -1.56% PDF

AMERISAFE fell by -0.17% in the last day ( Monday, 14th Oct 2019 ) from $63.92 to $63.81 During the day the stock fluctuated 1.54% from a day low at $63.47 to a day high of $64.44. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.48% for this period. Volume fell in the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. In the last day the trading volume fell by -3 903 shares and in total 48 514 shares bought and sold for approximately $3.10 million.

Quick summary:

  • 30 day high of the AMSF stock price was $68.13 and low was $63.47.
  • 90 day high was $69.97 and low was $63.08.
  • 52 week high for AMERISAFE - $69.97 and low - $50.45.
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AMERISAFE has broken the horizontal trend down. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately $64.67 is considered to be a "second chance" to get out before further fall. It is, however, important to note that false breaks may appear and that the price may move back into the horizontal trend. A break on increasing volume is considered to be more significant and reliable than breaks on low volume.

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There are few to none technical positive signals at the moment. AMERISAFE holds sales signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general sales signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up there will be some resistance from the lines at $65.40 and $66.71. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday October 04, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

The stock had a Golden Star Signal* on Wednesday May 01, 2019 in the medium-term chart.

* Golden Star Signal* is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Access today's Top 5 Golden Star Companies

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 75 ]

RSI14 is 32 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

* uses dynamical calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behaviour.

Support & Resistance

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

Price: $63.81 Resistance: $65.42


This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.97 (1.54%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.11%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a sell evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss set.

2.11 %

Average volatility

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High

Sell Candidate Downgraded


AMERISAFE holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Stronger Sell Today AMSF ranks #3870 as SELL CANDIDATE #3870 Weaker Sell
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Golden Star Signal

This unique signal uses moving averages and adds special requirements that convert the very good Golden Cross into a Golden Star.

This signal is rare and, in most cases, gives substantial returns. From 8.000 stocks usually only a few will trigger a Golden Star Signal per day!

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