Amazon Stock Forecast
Amazon stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Buy Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 13.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $198.22 and $216.95 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AMZN Signals & Forecast
The Amazon stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $179.83. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $179.45. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, April 11, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.03%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Amazon stock
Amazon finds support from accumulated volume at $174.42 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $3.96 (2.25%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.53%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $170.01 (-5.31%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 8 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AMZN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Amazon.com, Inc. to open at $178.48, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $175.65 and $183.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.89 (+/-2.17%) up or down from last closing price. If Amazon.com, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $180.00 (0.26%) than the support at $174.42 (2.85%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Amazon will release earnings AMC on Tuesday, April 30, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.82. We will update the financials statements for Amazon, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.03% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Amazon.com, Inc. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Amazon stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 4.397 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Amazon.com, Inc. of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$178.48 ( 0.589%) | $179.54 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AMZN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 182.44 | 1.61 % | |
R2 | 180.93 | 0.772 % | ||
R1 | 179.99 | 0.252 % | ||
Current price: | 179.54 | |||
Support | S1 | 176.97 | -1.43 % | |
S2 | 176.04 | -1.95 % | ||
S3 | 174.53 | -2.79 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 185.07 | 3.08 % | |
R2 | 183.62 | 2.27 % | ||
R1 | 180.00 | 0.256 % | ||
Current price | 179.54 | |||
Support | S1 | 174.42 | -2.85% | |
S2 | 171.81 | -4.31% | ||
S3 | 159.28 | -11.28% |
FAQ
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