Nvidia Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Jun 24, 2026

The NVIDIA stock price decreased by -0.520% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 24th Jun 2026), dropping from $200.04 to $199.00. It has now experienced a decline for three consecutive days. During the last trading session, the stock experienced fluctuations of 2.58%, with a daily low of $196.59 and a daily high of $201.65. Over the past 10 days, the price has declined in 6 of those days, resulting in a total decrease of -4.41%. Additionally, the volume decreased on the last day alongside the stock price, which is generally considered a positive indicator, as volume should typically align with stock movements. On the last trading day, the volume dropped by -3 million shares, culminating in a total of 149 million shares traded, amounting to approximately $29.65 billion.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 16.83% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $232.49 and $293.84 at the end of this 3-month period.

NVDA Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The NVIDIA stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $206.13 and $213.37. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, May 14, 2026, and so far it has fallen -15.58%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NVIDIA stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $174.40 and $167.52. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, NVIDIA finds support just below today's level at $174.40. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $167.52 and $165.17.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $5.06 between high and low, or 2.58%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.53%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $186.58 (-6.24%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 27 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (NVDA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect NVIDIA Corporation to open at $199.08, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $195.31 and $202.69, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$7.38 (+/-3.78%) up or down from last closing price. If NVIDIA Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.78% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $199.57 (0.29%) than the support at $174.40 (12.36%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is NVIDIA Corporation stock A Buy?

NVIDIA holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.004 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 25, 2026 - $199.08 ( 0.0394%).

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