Tilly's Inc Stock Forecast
Red day on Thursday for Tilly's Inc
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Tilly's Inc stock price fell by -0.508% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $5.91 to $5.88. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.11% from a day low at $5.78 to a day high of $5.90. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.68% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 10 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 45 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $265.02 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -23.41% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.02 and $4.98 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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TLYS Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Tilly's Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $6.45. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $5.79. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Tilly's Inc gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 8.09%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tilly's Inc stock
Tilly's Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $5.84 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.122 between high and low, or 2.11%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.30%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (TLYS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Tilly's Inc to open at $5.85, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $5.63 and $6.13, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.246 (+/-4.19%) up or down from last closing price. If Tilly's Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.38% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $5.84 (0.68%) than the resistance at $6.80 (15.65%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Tilly's Inc stock A Buy?
Tilly's Inc holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.393 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Tilly's Inc of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$5.85 ( 0.442%) | $5.88 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TLYS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 5.98 | 1.63 % | |
R2 | 5.93 | 0.84 % | ||
R1 | 5.90 | 0.350 % | ||
Current price: | 5.88 | |||
Support | S1 | 5.81 | -1.23 % | |
S2 | 5.78 | -1.72 % | ||
S3 | 5.73 | -2.52 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 7.32 | 24.49 % | |
R2 | 6.93 | 17.86 % | ||
R1 | 6.80 | 15.65 % | ||
Current price | 5.88 | |||
Support | S1 | 5.84 | -0.680% | |
S2 | 5.75 | -2.21% | ||
S3 | 5.58 | -5.10% |
TLYS Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nov 19, 2021 | Dec 06, 2021 | Dec 15, 2021 | $1.00 | 6.62% |
2 | Jun 09, 2021 | Jun 24, 2021 | Jul 09, 2021 | $1.00 | 6.39% |
3 | Jan 24, 2020 | Feb 11, 2020 | Feb 26, 2020 | $1.00 | 15.41% |
4 | Feb 01, 2019 | Feb 14, 2019 | Feb 27, 2019 | $1.00 | 8.38% |
5 | Jan 25, 2018 | Feb 08, 2018 | Feb 20, 2018 | $1.00 | 7.57% |
FAQ
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