- Attractive free cash flow ratio of 4.1x
- Bullish trend confirmed on both short and long timeframes
- Healthy interest coverage ratio of 13.7x
United Fire Group stock upgraded to Buy Candidate
(Updated on Jun 05, 2026)
The United Fire Group stock price gained 3.29% on the last trading day (Friday, 5th Jun 2026), rising from $43.79 to $45.23. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.23% from a day low at $43.34 to a day high of $45.60. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.03% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -127 thousand shares and in total, 0 shares were bought and sold for approximately $0 . You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $43.57 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 30.45% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $56.83 and $67.78 at the end of this 3-month period.
UFCS Signals & Forecast
The United Fire Group stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $44.10 and $44.08. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 03, 2026, and so far it has risen 4.75%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for United Fire Group stock
United Fire Group finds support from accumulated volume at $43.70 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $2.27 between high and low, or 5.23%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.06%
Our recommended stop-loss: $43.38 (-4.09%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (UFCS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 8th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 8th we expect United Fire Group to open at $44.72, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $44.50 and $45.96, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.47 (+/-3.30%) up or down from last closing price. If United Fire Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.30% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $43.70 (3.38%) than the resistance at $46.80 (3.47%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Dividend Warning For UFCS
Notice for UFCS: Ex-dividend date was Friday 5th June, 2026. The dividend was $0.200.Is United Fire Group stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for United Fire Group stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
4.958
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 8, 2026 - $44.72 ( 1.12%).
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UFCS Performance
Trading levels for UFCS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 46.99 | 3.88% |
| R2 | 46.12 | 1.97% |
| R1 | 45.59 | 0.789% |
| Price | 45.23 | |
| S1 | 43.86 | -3.04% |
| S2 | 43.32 | -4.22% |
| S3 | 42.46 | -6.13% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 48.56 | 7.36% |
| R2 | 48.06 | 6.26% |
| R1 | 46.80 | 3.47% |
| Price | 45.23 | |
| S1 | 43.70 | -3.38% |
| S2 | 43.01 | -4.91% |
| S3 | 36.40 | -19.52% |
UFCS Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 05, 2026 | Jun 05, 2026 | Jun 19, 2026 | $0.200 | 0.416% |
| 2 | Feb 10, 2026 | Feb 24, 2026 | Mar 10, 2026 | $0.200 | 0.505% |
| 3 | Nov 21, 2025 | Dec 05, 2025 | Dec 19, 2025 | $0.160 | 0.430% |
| 4 | Aug 15, 2025 | Aug 29, 2025 | Sep 12, 2025 | $0.160 | 0.524% |
| 5 | May 21, 2025 | Jun 06, 2025 | Jun 20, 2025 | $0.160 | 0.576% |
FAQ
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