Alcoa Earnings Calls
| Release date | Apr 16, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $1.53 |
| EPS actual | $1.40 |
| EPS Surprise | -8.50% |
| Revenue estimate | 3.279B |
| Revenue actual | 3.193B |
| Revenue Surprise | -2.64% |
| Release date | Jan 22, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.93 |
| EPS actual | $1.26 |
| EPS Surprise | 36.07% |
| Revenue estimate | 3.276B |
| Revenue actual | 3.449B |
| Revenue Surprise | 5.28% |
| Release date | Oct 22, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.141 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0200 |
| EPS Surprise | 85.83% |
| Revenue estimate | 3.092B |
| Revenue actual | 2.995B |
| Revenue Surprise | -3.12% |
| Release date | Jul 16, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.322 |
| EPS actual | $0.390 |
| EPS Surprise | 20.97% |
| Revenue estimate | 2.908B |
| Revenue actual | 3.018B |
| Revenue Surprise | 3.80% |
Last 4 Quarters for Alcoa
Below you can see how AA performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Price on release | $28.56 |
| EPS estimate | $0.322 |
| EPS actual | $0.390 |
| EPS surprise | 20.97% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2025 | $31.57 |
| Jul 11, 2025 | $31.09 |
| Jul 14, 2025 | $29.79 |
| Jul 15, 2025 | $28.49 |
| Jul 16, 2025 | $28.56 |
| Jul 17, 2025 | $29.39 |
| Jul 18, 2025 | $30.33 |
| Jul 21, 2025 | $30.98 |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $31.93 |
| 4 days before | -9.53% |
| 4 days after | 11.80% |
| On release day | 2.91% |
| Change in period | 1.14% |
| Release date | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Price on release | $35.65 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.141 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0200 |
| EPS surprise | 85.83% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | $37.13 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | $35.97 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | $38.96 |
| Oct 21, 2025 | $37.23 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $35.65 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $40.14 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | $39.42 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $39.90 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $39.31 |
| 4 days before | -3.99% |
| 4 days after | 10.27% |
| On release day | 12.59% |
| Change in period | 5.87% |
| Release date | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Price on release | $63.14 |
| EPS estimate | $0.93 |
| EPS actual | $1.26 |
| EPS surprise | 36.07% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | $63.81 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | $60.07 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | $62.12 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | $63.87 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | $63.14 |
| Jan 23, 2026 | $62.21 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | $58.55 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $59.66 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $60.01 |
| 4 days before | -1.05% |
| 4 days after | -4.96% |
| On release day | -1.47% |
| Change in period | -5.96% |
| Release date | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Price on release | $70.40 |
| EPS estimate | $1.53 |
| EPS actual | $1.40 |
| EPS surprise | -8.50% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | $73.01 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | $73.30 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | $71.86 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | $70.37 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | $70.40 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | $65.63 |
| Apr 20, 2026 | $66.54 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | $67.15 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $68.52 |
| 4 days before | -3.58% |
| 4 days after | -2.66% |
| On release day | -6.78% |
| Change in period | -6.15% |
Alcoa Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q1 2026
Alcoa reported a strong operational and financial start to 2026 driven by execution and market tailwinds in aluminum. Safety metrics improved and leadership emphasized fatality/critical-risk management and leader time in the field. Adjusted EBITDA was $595 million and first-quarter net income attributable to Alcoa Corporation was $425 million ($1.60 per share); adjusted net income was $373 million ($1.40 per share). Revenue fell 7% sequentially to $3.2 billion, driven by seasonally lower shipments and weaker alumina/bauxite prices, while Aluminum segment revenue rose modestly on higher realized prices and the San Ciprián smelter restart (completed in April). The Middle East conflict materially disrupted regional smelting/refining flows, raising freight, energy and raw-material costs and tightening global metal markets—supporting higher LME and regional premiums but pressuring alumina margins. The company is redirecting shipments (largely to China) without changing API-based pricing and expects Q2 benefits from higher LME/Midwest premiums and higher shipments; however, Section 232 tariff costs on Canadian imports to the U.S. are expected to increase by about $35 million. Cash balance was $1.4 billion at quarter end; free cash flow was negative $298 million due to seasonal working capital build. Alcoa issued notice to redeem $219 million of 2028 notes (to be redeemed at par) and reiterated capital-allocation priorities: sustain operations, strengthen the balance sheet (target net debt $1.0–1.5 billion), then balance shareholder returns and growth investments. Two changes to 2026 outlook: modestly lower interest expense (to ~$135 million) reflecting the note redemption, and higher environmental & ARO cash payments (~$360 million vs. $325 million prior) related to Australian mining-approval agreements. Progress on strategic items: ministerial mine approvals in Western Australia remain on track for year-end 2026, Massena East site monetization is in advanced discussions, and other site monetizations are being pursued in parallel. Operationally, Alcoa is increasing value-add production to serve North American and European customers facing Middle East supply disruption; some refineries (e.g., San Ciprián) and certain refineries remain challenged on margins, while smelter restarts and ramp-ups (San Ciprián, Lista, São Luís, Portland additions) provide incremental aluminum supply.
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