Genius Sports Earnings Calls
| Release date | May 07, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.0900 |
| EPS actual | -$0.210 |
| EPS Surprise | -133.33% |
| Revenue estimate | 170.601M |
| Revenue actual | 187.952M |
| Revenue Surprise | 10.17% |
| Release date | Mar 04, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.0200 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0300 |
| EPS Surprise | -250.00% |
| Revenue estimate | 239.982M |
| Revenue actual | 240.496M |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.214% |
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.130 |
| EPS actual | -$0.110 |
| EPS Surprise | -184.62% |
| Revenue estimate | 227.145M |
| Revenue actual | 166.283M |
| Revenue Surprise | -26.79% |
| Release date | Aug 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.0700 |
| EPS actual | -$0.210 |
| EPS Surprise | -400.00% |
| Revenue estimate | 156.228M |
| Revenue actual | 118.719M |
| Revenue Surprise | -24.01% |
Last 4 Quarters for Genius Sports
Below you can see how GENI performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Aug 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $11.67 |
| EPS estimate | $0.0700 |
| EPS actual | -$0.210 |
| EPS surprise | -400.00% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2025 | $11.25 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $11.68 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $12.08 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $12.22 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $11.67 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $11.96 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $12.39 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $12.52 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $12.74 |
| 4 days before | 3.73% |
| 4 days after | 9.17% |
| On release day | 2.49% |
| Change in period | 13.24% |
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| Price on release | $11.25 |
| EPS estimate | $0.130 |
| EPS actual | -$0.110 |
| EPS surprise | -184.62% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | $11.73 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $11.20 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $11.26 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $11.07 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $11.25 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $11.01 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $10.21 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $10.23 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $10.41 |
| 4 days before | -4.09% |
| 4 days after | -7.51% |
| On release day | -2.13% |
| Change in period | -11.30% |
| Release date | Mar 04, 2026 |
| Price on release | $6.04 |
| EPS estimate | $0.0200 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0300 |
| EPS surprise | -250.00% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | $6.39 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | $6.21 |
| Mar 02, 2026 | $6.37 |
| Mar 03, 2026 | $6.47 |
| Mar 04, 2026 | $6.04 |
| Mar 05, 2026 | $5.86 |
| Mar 06, 2026 | $5.39 |
| Mar 09, 2026 | $5.39 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | $5.18 |
| 4 days before | -5.48% |
| 4 days after | -14.24% |
| On release day | -2.98% |
| Change in period | -18.94% |
| Release date | May 07, 2026 |
| Price on release | $4.78 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.0900 |
| EPS actual | -$0.210 |
| EPS surprise | -133.33% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| May 01, 2026 | $4.35 |
| May 04, 2026 | $4.50 |
| May 05, 2026 | $4.33 |
| May 06, 2026 | $4.40 |
| May 07, 2026 | $4.78 |
| May 08, 2026 | $4.40 |
| May 11, 2026 | $4.41 |
| May 12, 2026 | $4.45 |
| May 13, 2026 | $4.21 |
| 4 days before | 9.89% |
| 4 days after | -11.92% |
| On release day | -7.95% |
| Change in period | -3.22% |
Genius Sports Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q1 2026
Genius Sports closed the Legend acquisition and reported a strong Q1 2026: group revenue growth of 31% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 21%, with Betting up 33% and Media up 22%. Management emphasized structural drivers: high net revenue retention (120–130%) across ~500 licensed sportsbook partners, selective focus on regulated operators, and contract structures that reduce earnings volatility. Media momentum centers on the newly launched Moment Engine (real-time, intent-driven ad targeting) and integrations with major programmatic players; Legend brings a large engaged audience and intent signals to accelerate performance media and iGaming acquisition. GeniusIQ and AI automation are positioned to reduce data-capture costs, speed product development and expand margins. CFO guidance (combined company effective May 1) calls for Q2 revenue of ~ $185M and adjusted EBITDA of ~$45M; FY2026 revenue of $990M–$1.01B and adjusted EBITDA of $270M–$280M, lifting the 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin expectation from 23% to 28%. Financing: an $825M Term Loan A at SOFR + 350 bps; management expects seasonally negative cash flow in H1 and roughly $100M total cash flow in H2 2026 (50–55% conversion of ~ $200M adjusted EBITDA in that period). Guidance does not yet include identified revenue synergies from the Legend deal (cross-sell, audience monetization, platform scaling, distribution), which management views as meaningful upside. Prediction markets are an early but material new ad/data opportunity; Genius expects to monetize through low-latency data feeds and its audience/identity stack. Overall message: the business is scaling, margins should expand materially, and the Legend acquisition accelerates the path to long-term targets while leaving upside from synergies and prediction markets largely unmodeled for 2026.
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