Moderna Earnings Calls
| Release date | May 01, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | -$4.45 |
| EPS actual | -$3.40 |
| EPS Surprise | 23.60% |
| Revenue estimate | 236.365M |
| Revenue actual | 389M |
| Revenue Surprise | 64.58% |
| Release date | Feb 13, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | -$2.54 |
| EPS actual | -$2.11 |
| EPS Surprise | 16.93% |
| Revenue estimate | 635.151M |
| Revenue actual | 678M |
| Revenue Surprise | 6.75% |
| Release date | Nov 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$1.87 |
| EPS actual | -$0.510 |
| EPS Surprise | 72.73% |
| Revenue estimate | 920.857M |
| Revenue actual | 1.016B |
| Revenue Surprise | 10.33% |
| Release date | Aug 01, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$2.99 |
| EPS actual | -$2.13 |
| EPS Surprise | 28.76% |
| Revenue estimate | 893.286M |
| Revenue actual | 142M |
| Revenue Surprise | -84.10% |
Last 4 Quarters for Moderna
Below you can see how MRNA performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Aug 01, 2025 |
| Price on release | $27.61 |
| EPS estimate | -$2.99 |
| EPS actual | -$2.13 |
| EPS surprise | 28.76% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2025 | $33.91 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $32.66 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $32.15 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $29.56 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $27.61 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $27.64 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $27.47 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $26.71 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $26.61 |
| 4 days before | -18.59% |
| 4 days after | -3.60% |
| On release day | 0.127% |
| Change in period | -21.53% |
| Release date | Nov 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $24.33 |
| EPS estimate | -$1.87 |
| EPS actual | -$0.510 |
| EPS surprise | 72.73% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | $27.16 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $24.91 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $23.75 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $23.56 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $24.33 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $24.54 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $24.76 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | $26.41 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | $26.71 |
| 4 days before | -10.42% |
| 4 days after | 9.78% |
| On release day | 0.86% |
| Change in period | -1.66% |
| Release date | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Price on release | $42.23 |
| EPS estimate | -$2.54 |
| EPS actual | -$2.11 |
| EPS surprise | 16.93% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 09, 2026 | $41.95 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | $42.00 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $40.51 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $40.11 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | $42.23 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $43.93 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $46.60 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | $49.70 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | $49.87 |
| 4 days before | 0.667% |
| 4 days after | 18.09% |
| On release day | 4.03% |
| Change in period | 18.88% |
| Release date | May 01, 2026 |
| Price on release | $45.37 |
| EPS estimate | -$4.45 |
| EPS actual | -$3.40 |
| EPS surprise | 23.60% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | $48.70 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $47.14 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $45.72 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $45.94 |
| May 01, 2026 | $45.37 |
| May 04, 2026 | $47.30 |
| May 05, 2026 | $46.71 |
| May 06, 2026 | $48.79 |
| May 07, 2026 | $48.54 |
| 4 days before | -6.84% |
| 4 days after | 6.99% |
| On release day | 4.25% |
| Change in period | -0.329% |
Moderna Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q1 2026
Moderna reported Q1 2026 revenue of $400M (up ~$300M YoY), driven largely by international deliveries under long-term strategic partnerships. The company reiterated guidance for up to 10% revenue growth in 2026 and expects roughly a 50/50 U.S./international mix for the year. GAAP net loss was $1.3B (primarily due to an $878M portion of a $950M litigation settlement recognized in Q1); excluding the settlement, net loss would have been ~$0.5B, a >50% improvement YoY. Cash and investments were $7.5B at quarter-end, with an expected year-end cash balance of $4.5–$5.0B. Adjusted cash costs declined 26% YoY in Q1 and management remains on track for ~ $4.2B adjusted cash costs for 2026. Key operational highlights: EU approvals for an mRNA COVID product (mNEXSPIKE) and the world’s first flu+COVID combination vaccine (mCOMBRIAX) — both expected to contribute to European growth beginning in 2027; U.S. PDUFA for seasonal flu candidate mRNA-1010 set for August 5, 2026. Oncology progress includes initiation of a Phase III Intismeran trial in high‑risk Stage 1 non-small cell lung cancer (including a monotherapy arm) and upcoming Intismeran/other oncology readouts (adjuvant melanoma interim in 2026; multiple Phase II/III studies ongoing). Norovirus Phase III is fully enrolled for the second Northern Hemisphere season, with data expected in 2026. The company continues R&D investment (~$3B guidance) and SG&A discipline (~$1B). On litigation: Moderna settled with a counterparty for a $950M lump-sum payment (due Q3 2026) but will appeal on government-contractor immunity (Section 1498); if it loses that appeal, an additional payment of up to $1.3B could be due, but management considers that further loss not probable. Overall, investors should weigh: improving revenue trajectory and product approvals, continued cost discipline and strong cash runway, meaningful upcoming clinical catalysts (Intismeran, norovirus, PA), and the binary legal risk tied to the Section 1498 appeal.
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