Ares Capital Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Jul 30, 2026 Loss -0.37%

The Ares Capital Corporation stock price fell by -0.372% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $18.83 to $18.76. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.96% from a day low at $18.71 to a day high of $18.89. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.14% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -1 million shares and in total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $73.75 million.

The stock is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Ares Capital Corporation stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $17.55 and $18.96 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

ARCC Signals & Forecast

The Ares Capital Corporation stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $18.80. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $18.62. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 16, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.34%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, July 13, 2026 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ares Capital Corporation stock

Ares Capital Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $18.68 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.180 between high and low, or 0.96%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.56%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $17.94 (-4.36%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 11 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (ARCC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Ares Capital Corporation to open at $18.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $18.60 and $18.92, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.312 (+/-1.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Ares Capital Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.68% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $18.78 (0.11%) than the support at $18.68 (0.43%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For ARCC

Dividend coming up for ARCC: Ex-dividend date (Tuesday 15th September, 2026) is 43 days away. The dividend is $0.480.

Is Ares Capital Corporation stock A Buy?

Ares Capital Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.644 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $18.79 ( 0.142%).

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