Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II Stock Forecast
Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II stock price down 0.496% on Thursday
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II stock price fell by -0.496% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024) from $10.08 to $10.03. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.90% from a day low at $10.01 to a day high of $10.10. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.66% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -51 thousand shares and in total, 239 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.40 million.
The stock is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $9.98 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $9.98 and $10.65 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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AWF Signals & Forecast
The Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $10.14 and $10.43. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.501%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, April 27, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, April 27, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II stock
Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II finds support from accumulated volume at $10.02 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0900 (0.90%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.22%.
Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II is oversold on RSI14 (18). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $9.38 (-6.46%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. Low RSI14 is 18 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AWF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II to open at $10.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.93 and $10.13, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.104 (+/-1.03%) up or down from last closing price. If Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.06% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $10.02 (0.10%) than the resistance at $10.39 (3.59%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.
Current score: 1.453 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Alliance World Dollar Government Fund II of Friday, April 19, 2024
Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$10.05 ( 0.166%) | $10.03 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AWF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 10.14 | 1.06 % | |
R2 | 10.10 | 0.721 % | ||
R1 | 10.08 | 0.509 % | ||
Current price: | 10.03 | |||
Support | S1 | 10.01 | -0.177 % | |
S2 | 9.99 | -0.388 % | ||
S3 | 9.96 | -0.731 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 10.47 | 4.39 % | |
R2 | 10.42 | 3.89 % | ||
R1 | 10.39 | 3.59 % | ||
Current price | 10.03 | |||
Support | S1 | 10.02 | -0.0997% | |
S2 | 9.98 | -0.499% | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
AWF Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 26, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | Apr 19, 2024 | $0.0655 | 0.654% |
2 | Mar 07, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | Mar 22, 2024 | $0.0655 | 0.619% |
3 | Jan 23, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 16, 2024 | $0.0655 | 0.630% |
4 | Dec 26, 2023 | Jan 04, 2024 | Jan 19, 2024 | $0.0655 | 0.640% |
5 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | Jan 19, 2024 | $0.0209 | 0.204% |
FAQ
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