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AI Analysis of CBSH
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Red day on Friday for Commerce Bancshares
(Updated on Dec 08, 2023)

Buy candidate since Dec 04, 2023 Gain 0.97% PDF
The Commerce Bancshares stock price fell by -0.2680451847597% on the last day (Friday, 8th Dec 2023) from $52.23 to $52.09. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.90% from a day low at $51.85 to a day high of $52.83. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 3.25% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -174 thousand shares and in total, 304 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $15.81 million.

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The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $52.28 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.25% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $47.48 and $55.55 at the end of this 3-month period.

CBSH Signals & Forecast

The Commerce Bancshares stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $51.28 and $47.82. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, December 07, 2023, and so far it has fallen -0.268%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

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Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Commerce Bancshares stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $48.91 and $48.52. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Commerce Bancshares finds support just below today's level at $48.91. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $48.52 and $46.43.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.99 between high and low, or 1.90%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.43%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $50.05 (-3.92%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (CBSH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 11th we expect Commerce Bancshares to open at $52.26, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $50.83 and $53.35, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.26 (+/-2.41%) up or down from last closing price. If Commerce Bancshares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.82% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $52.23 (0.27%) than the support at $48.91 (6.10%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Commerce Bancshares stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Commerce Bancshares stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 1.710 Open Broker Account

Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Opening Price for Commerce Bancshares of Monday, December 11, 2023

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Fair opening price December 11, 2023 Current price
$52.26 $52.09 (Undervalued)

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Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 53.24 2.21 %
R2 52.87 1.49 %
R1 52.63 1.04 %
Current price: 52.09
Support S1 51.88 -0.406 %
S2 51.65 -0.85 %
S3 51.27 -1.58 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 0 .
R2 0 .
R1 52.23 0.269 %
Current price 52.09
Support S1 48.91 -6.10%
S2 48.52 -6.85%
S3 46.43 -10.87%
What is the symbol for Commerce Bancshares Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Commerce Bancshares is CBSH and it is traded on the NASDAQ (NASDAQ Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Commerce Bancshares Stock?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Commerce Bancshares stock to perform well in the short-term.

How to buy Commerce Bancshares Stock?
Commerce Bancshares Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Commerce Bancshares Stock.

What's the current price of Commerce Bancshares Stock?
As of the end of day on the 2023-12-08, the price of an Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) share was $52.09.

What is the 52-week high and low for Commerce Bancshares Stock?
The 52-week high for Commerce Bancshares Stock is $70.20 and the 52-week low is $42.97.

What is the market capitalization of Commerce Bancshares Stock?
As of the 2023-12-08, the market capitalization of Commerce Bancshares is 6.798B.

When is the next earnings date for Commerce Bancshares?
The upcoming earnings date for Commerce Bancshares is 2024-01-18 23:00:00.

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About Commerce Bancshares

Commerce Bancshares Commerce Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commerce Bank that provides retail, mortgage banking, corporate, investment, trust, and asset management products and services to individuals and businesses in the United States. It operates through three segments: Consumer, Commercial, and Wealth. The Consumer segment offers various banking products and services, including consumer deposits; consumer loans, such as automobile, mo... CBSH Profile

CBSH Dividend Data


Dividend Yield (TTM)
Payout Ratio (TTM) 19.85%
Next Ex-Dividend Date Dec 04, 2023
Next Payment Date Dec 18, 2023
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