CareDx Stock Forecast
Stock Analysis |
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Risk Assessment |
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Trading Strategy |
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Weaker technical forecast for CareDx as stock downgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Sep 13, 2024)
The CareDx stock price fell by -1.90% on the last day (Friday, 13th Sep 2024) from $29.43 to $28.87. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.28% from a day low at $28.67 to a day high of $30.47. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.6% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -134 thousand shares and in total, 530 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $15.30 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $28.79 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 110.06% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $60.47 and $84.21 at the end of this 3-month period.
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CDNA Signals & Forecast
The CareDx stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $28.15 and $27.61. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, August 19, 2024, and so far it has fallen -15.06%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for CareDx stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $25.01 and $23.69. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, CareDx finds support just below today's level at $25.01. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $23.69 and $23.58.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.80 between high and low, or 6.28%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.03%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $27.06 (-6.28%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 61 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CDNA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 16th we expect CareDx to open at $29.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $27.17 and $30.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.70 (+/-5.90%) up or down from last closing price. If CareDx takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.80% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $30.73 (6.44%) than the support at $25.01 (13.37%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is CareDx stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for CareDx stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.
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Current score: 2.928 Buy Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for CareDx of Monday, September 16, 2024
Fair opening price September 16, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$29.34 ( 1.62%) | $28.87 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CDNA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 31.14 | 7.85% |
R2 | 30.45 | 5.47% |
R1 | 30.02 | 4.00% |
Price | 28.87 | |
S1 | 28.65 | -0.765% |
S2 | 28.22 | -2.24% |
S3 | 27.54 | -4.62% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 33.99 | 17.73% |
R2 | 33.00 | 14.31% |
R1 | 30.73 | 6.44% |
Price | 28.87 | |
S1 | 25.01 | -13.37% |
S2 | 23.69 | -17.94% |
S3 | 23.58 | -18.32% |
FAQ
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