Costco Stock Forecast

Hold candidate since Jul 20, 2026 Loss -0.91%

The Costco stock price fell by -0.206% on the last day (Wednesday, 22nd Jul 2026) from $929.22 to $927.31. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.31% from a day low at $920.97 to a day high of $932.99. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.71% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 63 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.63 billion.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $806.23 and $912.56 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

COST Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, July 09, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.57%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Costco stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $931.01 and $950.72. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Costco stock

Costco finds support from accumulated volume at $924.67 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $12.03 between high and low, or 1.31%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.92%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $884.33 (-4.63%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 9 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (COST) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 23rd we expect Costco Wholesale Corporation to open at $927.09, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $917.57 and $937.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$19.47 (+/-2.12%) up or down from last closing price. If Costco Wholesale Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.12% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $924.67 (0.28%) than the resistance at $951.45 (2.60%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For COST

Dividend warning for COST: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 0 days on Friday 24th July, 2026. The dividend to be paid is $1.47, which is a small dividend (0.159%). The stock is expected to open approximately 0.159% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is Costco Wholesale Corporation stock A Buy?

Costco holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.691 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 23, 2026 - $927.09 ( 0.0239%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk