Canadian Pacific Railway Limited Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 12, 2025 Gain 4.66%

The Canadian Pacific Railway Limited stock price gained 0.0250% on the last trading day (Friday, 20th Jun 2025), rising from $80.15 to $80.17. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.30% from a day low at $80.09 to a day high of $81.13. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.06% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 653 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $155.12 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 18.95% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $92.84 and $100.90 at the end of this 3-month period.

CP Signals & Forecast

The Canadian Pacific Railway Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $80.64. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $79.48. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 03, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.48%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Canadian Pacific Railway Limited stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $73.18 and $70.48. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Canadian Pacific Railway Limited finds support just below today's level at $73.18. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $70.48 and $68.59.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $1.05 between high and low, or 1.30%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.76%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $76.47 (-4.62%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (CP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 23rd we expect Canadian Pacific Railway Limited to open at $80.46, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $78.74 and $81.60, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.43 (+/-1.78%) up or down from last closing price. If Canadian Pacific Railway Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.56% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $81.25 (1.35%) than the support at $73.18 (8.72%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For CP

Dividend warning for CP: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 4 days on Friday 27th June, 2025. The dividend to be paid is $0.160, which is a small dividend (0.200%). The stock is expected to open approximately 0.200% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is Canadian Pacific Railway Limited stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Canadian Pacific Railway Limited stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 1.397 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2025 - $80.46 ( 0.364%).

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