Cenovus Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Apr 03, 2025 Loss -9.54%

The Cenovus stock price gained 2.91% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 16th Apr 2025), rising from $11.33 to $11.66. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.14% from a day low at $11.36 to a day high of $11.83. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -16.95% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 11 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $124.97 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -20.19% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $8.18 and $10.76 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

CVE Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 08, 2025, and so far it has risen 10.21%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Cenovus stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $12.93. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $11.38. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Cenovus stock

Cenovus finds support from accumulated volume at $11.25 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.470 between high and low, or 4.14%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.16%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (CVE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 17th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 17th we expect Cenovus Energy Inc to open at $11.62, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.96 and $12.36, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.701 (+/-6.01%) up or down from last closing price. If Cenovus Energy Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $12.01 (3.00%) than the support at $11.25 (3.52%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Cenovus Energy Inc stock A Buy?

Cenovus holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -1.244 Sell Candidate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on April 17, 2025 - $11.62 ( 0.372%).