ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF Forecast
ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF price fell by -0.0468% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $14.75 to $14.74. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.0678% from a day low at $14.74 to a day high of $14.75. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 2.11% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 thousand shares and in total, 357 shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.26 thousand.
The ETFis at the upper part of a wide and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $15.03 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $13.42 and $15.17 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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EMTY Signals & Forecast
The ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $14.89. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $14.04. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF
ProShares Decline of the Retail Store finds support from accumulated volume at $14.48 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0100 between high and low, or 0.0678%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.490%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $14.13 (-4.15%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (EMTY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF to open at $14.74, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $14.57 and $14.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.166 (+/-1.13%) up or down from last closing price. If ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.26% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $14.77 (0.23%) than the support at $14.48 (1.76%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF ETF A Buy?
ProShares Decline of the Retail Store holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.312 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for ProShares Decline of the Retail Store ETF of Thursday, April 25, 2024
Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$14.74 ( 0.0226%) | $14.74 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for EMTY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 14.75 | 0.0905 % | |
R2 | 14.75 | 0.0645 % | ||
R1 | 14.75 | 0.0485 % | ||
Current price: | 14.74 | |||
Support | S1 | 14.74 | -0.0033 % | |
S2 | 14.74 | -0.0193 % | ||
S3 | 14.73 | -0.0452 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 14.98 | 1.63 % | |
R2 | 14.94 | 1.36 % | ||
R1 | 14.77 | 0.233 % | ||
Current price | 14.74 | |||
Support | S1 | 14.48 | -1.76% | |
S2 | 14.42 | -2.17% | ||
S3 | 13.76 | -6.65% |
EMTY Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | $0.166 | 1.25% |
2 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | $0.235 | 1.62% |
3 | Jan 09, 2023 | Sep 20, 2023 | Sep 27, 2023 | $0.150 | 0.87% |
4 | Jan 09, 2023 | Jun 21, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.137 | 0.89% |
5 | Jan 09, 2023 | Mar 22, 2023 | Mar 29, 2023 | $0.106 | 0.720% |
FAQ
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