Empire State Realty Trust Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 30, 2026 Loss -7.20%

The Empire State Realty Trust Inc stock price fell by -4.13% on the last day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026) from $4.84 to $4.64. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.77% from a day low at $4.61 to a day high of $4.83. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -17.44% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 664 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.55 million.

The stock has broken the wide and falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($4.94) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $4.12 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.

ESRT Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Empire State Realty Trust Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $4.88 and $5.36. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, and so far it has fallen -20.00%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Empire State Realty Trust Inc stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.220 between high and low, or 4.77%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.11%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (ESRT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Empire State Realty Trust Inc to open at $4.69, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $4.53 and $4.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.211 (+/-4.66%) up or down from last closing price. If Empire State Realty Trust Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.66% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $5.00, some $0.360 (7.76%) from the current price of $4.64, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Dividend Warning For ESRT

Dividend coming up for ESRT: Ex-dividend date (Tuesday 15th September, 2026) is 34 days away. The dividend is $0.0400.

Is Empire State Realty Trust Inc stock A Buy?

Empire State Realty Trust Inc holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.

Current score: -5.619 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $4.69 ( 1.15%).

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