Exelixis Stock Forecast

Stock Analysis |
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Risk Assessment |
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Trading Strategy |
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High volatility in Exelixis stock price on Thursday which ended trading at $46.26
(Updated on May 15, 2025)
The Exelixis stock price gained 3.61% on the last trading day (Thursday, 15th May 2025), rising from $44.65 to $46.26. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 10.50% from a day low at $44.21 to a day high of $48.85. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 18.95% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -3 million shares and in total, 10 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $472.58 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock has broken the wide and weak rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $40.48, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner.

EXEL Signals & Forecast
The Exelixis stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $39.19 and $37.23. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, May 09, 2025, and so far it has risen 27.90%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Exelixis stock
Exelixis finds support from accumulated volume at $44.65 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $4.64 between high and low, or 10.50%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.23%.
The Exelixis stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (76). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: $44.88 (-2.98%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (EXEL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 16th we expect Exelixis to open at $46.44, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $44.25 and $48.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.01 (+/-4.35%) up or down from last closing price. If Exelixis takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.69% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $44.65, some $1.61 (3.48%) from the current price of $46.26, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Exelixis stock A Buy?
Exelixis holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score:
0.000
Hold/Accumulate
Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
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Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on May 16, 2025 - $46.44 ( 0.389%).EXEL Performance
Trading levels for EXEL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 51.08 | 10.42% |
R2 | 49.31 | 6.59% |
R1 | 48.21 | 4.22% |
Price | 46.26 | |
S1 | 44.67 | -3.44% |
S2 | 43.57 | -5.81% |
S3 | 41.80 | -9.64% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 0 | - |
R2 | 0 | - |
R1 | 0 | - |
Price | 46.26 | |
S1 | 44.65 | -3.48% |
S2 | 38.55 | -16.67% |
S3 | 36.96 | -20.10% |
FAQ
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