First Trust Developed Markets Ex-us Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 13, 2026

The First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US ETF price fell by -2.43% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $92.36 to $90.12. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.10% from a day low at $89.77 to a day high of $90.76. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.33% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 25 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 89 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.99 million.

The ETF has broken the horizontal trend down. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately $93.48 is considered to be a "second chance" to get out before further fall. It is, however, important to note that false breaks may appear and that the price may move back into the horizontal trend. A break on increasing volume is considered to be more significant and reliable than breaks on low volume.

FDT Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $92.24 and $96.36. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 15, 2026, and so far it has fallen -9.98%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US ETF

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.98 between high and low, or 1.10%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.22%.

First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US is oversold on RSI14 (16). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (FDT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US AlphaDEX Fund to open at $90.21, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $89.15 and $91.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.93 (+/-2.17%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.17% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $97.04, some $6.92 (7.68%) from the current price of $90.12, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.315 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $90.21 ( 0.105%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk