First Trust Developed Markets Ex-us Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 23, 2026

The First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US ETF price fell by -4.44% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026) from $99.80 to $95.37. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.42% from a day low at $94.98 to a day high of $96.33. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.07% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 31 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 118 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $11.25 million.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $95.03 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 13.58% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $107.94 and $118.06 at the end of this 3-month period.

FDT Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $98.69 and $97.92. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 01, 2026, and so far it has fallen -5.52%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US ETF

On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $88.44 and $86.93. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US finds support just below today's level at $88.44. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $86.93 and $83.92.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.35 (1.42%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.51%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (FDT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US AlphaDEX Fund to open at $95.56, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $94.21 and $96.53, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.32 (+/-2.47%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.47% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $97.04 (1.75%) than the support at $88.44 (7.27%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

The First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe First Trust Developed Markets Ex-US will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Strong Sell candidate.

Current score: -5.769 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $95.56 ( 0.200%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk