Fossil Group Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 13, 2025 Gain 2.26%

The Fossil Group stock price gained 3.82% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 18th Jun 2025), rising from $1.31 to $1.36. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.08% from a day low at $1.30 to a day high of $1.41. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -11.11% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -3 thousand shares and in total, 129 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $176.09 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 34.13% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.60 and $2.47 at the end of this 3-month period.

FOSL Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Fossil Group stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $1.39. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $1.36. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, June 17, 2025, and so far it has risen 3.82%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, November 12, 2024 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Fossil Group stock

Fossil Group finds support from accumulated volume at $1.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.105 between high and low, or 8.08%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.90%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (FOSL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 20th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 20th we expect Fossil Group to open at $1.36, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.26 and $1.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0954 (+/-7.02%) up or down from last closing price. If Fossil Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 14.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $1.31 (3.68%) than the resistance at $1.46 (7.35%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Fossil Group stock A Buy?

Fossil Group holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -1.754 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 20, 2025 - $1.36 ( 0.368%).

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