Fossil Group Stock Forecast
Volatile ride for Fossil Group stock price on Friday moving between $0.783 and $0.86
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The Fossil Group stock price gained 9.03% on the last trading day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024), rising from $0.780 to $0.85. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 10.45% from a day low at $0.783 to a day high of $0.86. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -10.56% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -201 thousand shares and in total, 420 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $356.78 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -27.11% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.560 and $0.709 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
FOSL Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Fossil Group stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $0.92. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $0.84. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 9.06%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Fossil Group stock
Fossil Group finds support from accumulated volume at $0.81 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.0818 between high and low, or 10.45%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 10.45%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FOSL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Fossil Group to open at $0.83, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.769 and $0.93, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0812 (+/-9.55%) up or down from last closing price. If Fossil Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 19.10% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $0.87 (1.91%) than the support at $0.81 (4.73%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Fossil Group stock A Buy?
Fossil Group holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.193 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Fossil Group of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $0.83 ( 2.05%) | $0.85 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FOSL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.91 | 7.57 % | |
| R2 | 0.88 | 3.89 % | ||
| R1 | 0.86 | 1.62 % | ||
| Current price: | 0.85 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.80 | -5.73 % | |
| S2 | 0.782 | -8.00 % | ||
| S3 | 0.751 | -11.68 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.99 | 16.60 % | |
| R2 | 0.87 | 2.33 % | ||
| R1 | 0.87 | 1.91 % | ||
| Current price | 0.85 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.81 | -4.73% | |
| S2 | 0.780 | -8.28% | ||
| S3 | 0.780 | -8.30% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Fossil Group Stock.
