First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-japan Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 24, 2026 Loss -4.67%

The First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan ETF price fell by -1.70% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $45.21 to $44.44. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.94% from a day low at $44.33 to a day high of $44.75. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.39% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 528 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $127.54 thousand.

The ETF lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $43.21 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -14.43% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $36.98 and $45.47 at the end of this 3-month period.

FPA Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, and so far it has risen 2.14%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $45.51 and $50.23. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan ETF

First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan finds support from accumulated volume at $43.51 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.415 between high and low, or 0.94%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.56%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (FPA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund to open at $44.51, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $43.67 and $45.21, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.54 (+/-3.53%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.53% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $43.51 (2.10%) than the resistance at $49.47 (11.32%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -4.326 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $44.51 ( 0.146%).

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