First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-japan Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 10, 2026 Loss -5.43%

The First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan ETF price fell by -5.43% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $49.32 to $46.64. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.32% from a day low at $46.13 to a day high of $47.20. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -11.8% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 10 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 16 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $755.52 thousand.

The ETF has broken the wide and weak rising short-term trend down. This signalizes a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning about a possible trend shift. Due to the trend being broken there will now be resistance at the bottom line of the trend at $52.20. A reaction back to this level may hold a second chance to get out before further falls.

FPA Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $49.33 and $53.55. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 15, 2026, and so far it has fallen -19.36%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan ETF

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.07 between high and low, or 2.32%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.33%.

First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan is oversold on RSI14 (15). Some ETFs may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but ETFs that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (FPA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund to open at $46.66, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $45.73 and $47.55, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.83 (+/-4.00%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.00% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $47.68, some $1.04 (2.23%) from the current price of $46.64, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

The First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe First Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -3.357 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $46.66 ( 0.0357%).

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