First Trust Value Line Dividend Index Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since May 28, 2026 Loss -1.41%

The First Trust Value Line Dividend Index ETF price fell by -0.594% on the last day (Wednesday, 3rd Jun 2026) from $47.12 to $46.84. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.87% from a day low at $46.83 to a day high of $47.24. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.91% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -12 thousand shares and in total, 447 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $20.92 million.

The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust Value Line Dividend Index ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $45.14 and $47.33 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

FVD Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The First Trust Value Line Dividend Index ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $47.31 and $47.49. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, May 15, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.472%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 24, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Value Line Dividend Index ETF

First Trust Value Line Dividend Index finds support from accumulated volume at $46.61 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.409 between high and low, or 0.87%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.667%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (FVD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 4th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 4th we expect First Trust Value Line Dividend Index Fund to open at $46.97, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $46.63 and $47.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.429 (+/-0.92%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Value Line Dividend Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.92% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $46.61 (0.49%) than the resistance at $47.33 (1.05%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is First Trust Value Line Dividend Index Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust Value Line Dividend Index holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -1.178 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 4, 2026 - $46.97 ( 0.279%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk