- Solid financial health (Piotroski 6/9)
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.68)
- 3.88% TTM dividend yield
Evaluation of Graphic Packaging Holding Company stock downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jul 29, 2026)
The Graphic Packaging Holding Company stock price fell by -2.75% on the last day (Wednesday, 29th Jul 2026) from $11.65 to $11.33. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.89% from a day low at $11.05 to a day high of $11.48. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.9% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 million shares and in total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $58.10 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $10.93 and $12.97 at the end of this 3-month period.
GPK Signals & Forecast
The Graphic Packaging Holding Company stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $11.16 and $10.73. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.75%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Graphic Packaging Holding Company stock
Graphic Packaging Holding Company finds support from accumulated volume at $11.20 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.430 between high and low, or 3.89%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.92%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $10.81 (-4.62%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (GPK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 30th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 30th we expect Graphic Packaging Holding Company to open at $11.29, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $11.10 and $11.56, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.456 (+/-4.11%) up or down from last closing price. If Graphic Packaging Holding Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $11.20 (1.15%) than the resistance at $11.52 (1.68%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Graphic Packaging Holding Company will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, August 04, 2026.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.110. We will update the financials statements for Graphic Packaging Holding Company, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 7.89% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Graphic Packaging Holding Company stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Graphic Packaging Holding Company stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
1.491
Buy Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 30, 2026 - $11.29 ( 0.382%).
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GPK Performance
Trading levels for GPK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 11.72 | 3.41% |
| R2 | 11.55 | 1.96% |
| R1 | 11.45 | 1.07% |
| Price | 11.33 | |
| S1 | 11.12 | -1.83% |
| S2 | 11.02 | -2.73% |
| S3 | 10.86 | -4.18% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0 | - |
| R2 | 11.65 | 2.82% |
| R1 | 11.52 | 1.68% |
| Price | 11.33 | |
| S1 | 11.20 | -1.15% |
| S2 | 10.73 | -5.30% |
| S3 | 10.12 | -10.68% |
GPK Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jul 07, 2026 | $0.110 | 1.02% |
| 2 | Feb 25, 2026 | Mar 13, 2026 | Apr 08, 2026 | $0.110 | 0.93% |
| 3 | Dec 03, 2025 | Dec 15, 2025 | Jan 07, 2026 | $0.110 | 0.688% |
| 4 | Jul 31, 2025 | Sep 15, 2025 | Oct 05, 2025 | $0.110 | 0.501% |
| 5 | May 22, 2025 | Jun 13, 2025 | Jul 05, 2025 | $0.110 | 0.480% |
FAQ
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