Red day on Friday for Hawaiian Holdings
(Updated on Dec 08, 2023)
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The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $14.27 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 5.27% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.46 and $15.02 at the end of this 3-month period.
HA Signals & Forecast
The Hawaiian Holdings stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $11.20 and $5.75. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, December 04, 2023, and so far it has fallen -6.40%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
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Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Hawaiian Holdings stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.615 between high and low, or 4.63%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.02%.
The Hawaiian Holdings stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $12.74 (-4.32%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. The RSI14 is 84 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (HA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 11th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 11th we expect Hawaiian Holdings to open at $13.49, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.44 and $14.18, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.87 (+/-6.57%) up or down from last closing price. If Hawaiian Holdings takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 13.14% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $13.86, some $0.550 (4.13%) from the current price of $13.31, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Hawaiian Holdings stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Hawaiian Holdings stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 1.077 Open Broker AccountBuy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Hawaiian Holdings of Monday, December 11, 2023
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
|Fair opening price December 11, 2023||Current price|
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Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
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