Weaker technical forecast for Home Bancorp as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Oct 03, 2023)
The Home Bancorp stock price fell by -1.84% on the last day (Tuesday, 3rd Oct 2023) from $32.06 to $31.47. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.22% from a day low at $31.47 to a day high of $32.17. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.35% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 141 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 11 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $357.81 thousand.
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The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.37% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $27.15 and $31.32 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
HBCP Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Home Bancorp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $31.89 and $32.64. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, July 28, 2023, and so far it has fallen -13.69%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Home Bancorp gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Home Bancorp stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.700 between high and low, or 2.22%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.35%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (HBCP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 4th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 4th we expect Home Bancorp to open at $31.70, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $30.89 and $32.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.585 (+/-1.86%) up or down from last closing price. If Home Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.71% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $31.76, some $0.290 (0.92%) from the current price of $31.47, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Home Bancorp stock A Buy?
Home Bancorp holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.286 Open Broker AccountSell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Home Bancorp of Wednesday, October 4, 2023
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
|Fair opening price October 4, 2023||Current price|
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About Home Bancorp
Home Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Home Bank, National Association that provides various banking products and services in Louisiana and Mississippi. It offers deposit products, including interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing checking, money market, savings, NOW, and certificates of deposit accounts. The company also provides various loan products, such as one-to four-family first mortgage loans, home equity loans and l... HBCP Profile
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