- Low bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score: 6.03)
- Healthy interest coverage ratio of 13.3x
- Solid financial health (Piotroski 6/9)
Warrior met Coal Inc stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Tuesday trading session
(Updated on Jul 28, 2026)
The Warrior met Coal Inc stock price fell by -2.06% on the last day (Tuesday, 28th Jul 2026) from $80.66 to $79.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.85% from a day low at $78.02 to a day high of $81.02. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.2% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 806 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $115.23 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $74.81 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.37% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $67.06 and $92.21 at the end of this 3-month period.
HCC Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, July 07, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.62%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Warrior met Coal Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $80.38 and $84.76. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Warrior met Coal Inc stock
Warrior met Coal Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $78.26 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $3.00 (3.85%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.83%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (HCC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 29th we expect Warrior met Coal Inc to open at $79.35, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $77.37 and $80.63, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.25 (+/-4.20%) up or down from last closing price. If Warrior met Coal Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.20% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $78.26 (0.94%) than the resistance at $84.02 (6.35%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Warrior met Coal Inc will release earnings AMC on Wednesday, August 05, 2026.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $1.32. We will update the financials statements for Warrior met Coal Inc, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 5.02% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Warrior met Coal Inc stock A Buy?
Warrior met Coal Inc holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.042
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 29, 2026 - $79.35 ( 0.439%).
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HCC Performance
Trading levels for HCC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 82.35 | 4.24% |
| R2 | 81.20 | 2.79% |
| R1 | 80.49 | 1.89% |
| Price | 79.00 | |
| S1 | 78.20 | -1.01% |
| S2 | 77.49 | -1.91% |
| S3 | 76.35 | -3.36% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 86.20 | 9.11% |
| R2 | 85.87 | 8.70% |
| R1 | 84.02 | 6.35% |
| Price | 79.00 | |
| S1 | 78.26 | -0.94% |
| S2 | 77.91 | -1.38% |
| S3 | 77.74 | -1.59% |
HCC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 01, 2026 | May 01, 2026 | May 07, 2026 | $0.0800 | 0.0902% |
| 2 | Feb 23, 2026 | Feb 23, 2026 | Mar 02, 2026 | $0.0800 | 0.0883% |
| 3 | Nov 07, 2025 | Nov 07, 2025 | Nov 14, 2025 | $0.0800 | 0.124% |
| 4 | Aug 08, 2025 | Aug 08, 2025 | Aug 15, 2025 | $0.0800 | 0.158% |
| 5 | May 05, 2025 | May 05, 2025 | May 12, 2025 | $0.0800 | 0.173% |
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