- Beat earnings estimates in all of the last 4 quarters
- Strong return on equity of 78.1%
- Low bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score: 3.39)
Holcim Ltd stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jun 29, 2026)
The Holcim Ltd stock price fell by -4.12% on the last day (Monday, 29th Jun 2026) from $18.68 to $17.91. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.34% from a day low at $17.74 to a day high of $17.98. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.63% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $79.20 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $17.67 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.76% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $19.04 and $21.71 at the end of this 3-month period.
HCMLY Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Holcim Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $18.60 and $18.82. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 29, 2026, and so far it has fallen -8.99%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Holcim Ltd gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Holcim Ltd stock
Holcim Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at $17.68 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.238 between high and low, or 1.34%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.34%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $17.37 (-3.04%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 20 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (HCMLY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 30th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 30th we expect Holcim Ltd to open at $17.88, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $17.66 and $18.16, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.498 (+/-2.82%) up or down from last closing price. If Holcim Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.82% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $18.12 (1.17%) than the support at $17.68 (1.28%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Holcim Ltd will release earnings on Friday, July 03, 2026.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.262. We will update the financials statements for Holcim Ltd, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 1.30% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Holcim Ltd stock A Buy?
Holcim Ltd holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.000
Hold/Accumulate
Upgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 30, 2026 - $17.88 ( 0.181%).
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HCMLY Performance
Trading levels for HCMLY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 18.12 | 1.14% |
| R2 | 18.02 | 0.638% |
| R1 | 17.97 | 0.325% |
| Price | 17.91 | |
| S1 | 17.79 | -0.688% |
| S2 | 17.73 | -1.00% |
| S3 | 17.64 | -1.51% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 19.19 | 7.15% |
| R2 | 18.45 | 3.02% |
| R1 | 18.12 | 1.17% |
| Price | 17.91 | |
| S1 | 17.68 | -1.28% |
| S2 | 17.67 | -1.34% |
| S3 | 16.91 | -5.58% |
HCMLY Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 19, 2026 | May 19, 2026 | Jun 05, 2026 | $0.364 | 1.89% |
| 2 | Jul 28, 2025 | Jul 28, 2025 | Jun 06, 2025 | $10.68 | 46.62% |
| 3 | May 27, 2025 | May 27, 2025 | Jun 06, 2025 | $0.692 | 2.91% |
| 4 | May 13, 2024 | May 13, 2024 | May 31, 2024 | $0.569 | 3.24% |
| 5 | May 04, 2023 | May 09, 2023 | May 26, 2023 | $0.562 | 4.50% |
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