Herbalife LTD Stock Forecast
Herbalife LTD stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Herbalife LTD stock price gained 4.37% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from $8.23 to $8.59. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.58% from a day low at $8.24 to a day high of $8.70. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 12.29% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 223 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.89 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -31.91% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.73 and $6.36 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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HLF Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 04, 2024, and so far it has risen 12.29%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Herbalife LTD stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $8.73. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $8.33. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Herbalife LTD stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $8.07 and $8.03. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Herbalife LTD finds support just below today's level at $8.07. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $8.03 and $7.65.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.460 between high and low, or 5.58%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.83%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $8.22 (-4.30%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 10 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (HLF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Herbalife LTD to open at $8.51, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $8.04 and $9.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.553 (+/-6.44%) up or down from last closing price. If Herbalife LTD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.87% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $8.60 (0.12%) than the support at $8.07 (6.05%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Herbalife LTD stock A Buy?
Herbalife LTD holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.527 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Herbalife LTD of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $8.51 ( 0.93%) | $8.59 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HLF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 8.97 | 4.42 % | |
| R2 | 8.79 | 2.38 % | ||
| R1 | 8.69 | 1.11 % | ||
| Current price: | 8.59 | |||
| Support | S1 | 8.33 | -2.98 % | |
| S2 | 8.23 | -4.24 % | ||
| S3 | 8.05 | -6.29 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 9.11 | 6.05 % | |
| R2 | 8.90 | 3.61 % | ||
| R1 | 8.60 | 0.116 % | ||
| Current price | 8.59 | |||
| Support | S1 | 8.07 | -6.05% | |
| S2 | 8.03 | -6.52% | ||
| S3 | 7.65 | -10.94% |
HLF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 18, 2014 | Feb 28, 2014 | Mar 18, 2014 | $0.150 | 0.567% |
| 2 | Oct 25, 2013 | Nov 07, 2013 | Nov 26, 2013 | $0.150 | 0.433% |
| 3 | Jul 29, 2013 | Aug 09, 2013 | Aug 27, 2013 | $0.150 | 0.480% |
| 4 | Apr 29, 2013 | May 10, 2013 | May 28, 2013 | $0.150 | 0.630% |
| 5 | Feb 19, 2013 | Mar 01, 2013 | Mar 19, 2013 | $0.150 | 0.80% |
FAQ
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